Farmers’ Perception and Adaptation to Climate Change in Western Ethiopia.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20372/afnr.v2i3.1347Keywords:
Adaptation, Bivariate probit, Climate change, PerceptionAbstract
Ethiopia’s agricultural production has been declining due to climate change stresses manifested by extreme weather events, exacerbating food insecurity over the past few decades. The main objective of the study was to investigate farmers' perception and adaptation to climate change using cross-sectional data collected from 588 randomly selected households in western Ethiopia. The study employed descriptive and bivariate probit model to analyze data using STATA software version 15. Notably, about 94% (555) of households perceived climate change as occurring, with decreasing rainfall about 83% (486) and rising temperatures about 85% (498) as key indicators. About 68% (400) of the farmers adopted various adaptation strategies. The bivariate probit model analysis identified common underlying factors significantly affecting both perception and adaptation, including sex, education, family size, farm size, market distance and fragmentation at less than 10% probability levels. However, agro-ecology effect only farmers’ perception to climate change at 5% probability level. To enhance farmers’ perception and adaptation decision, policymakers should focus on improving education, providing climate information, and strengthening the capacity of farmers to adapt to climate change.
Downloads
Metrics
References
Alemu T., and Mengistu A. 2019. Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security in Ethiopia: Adaptation and Mitigation Options: A Review. Climate Change Management, 397–412.
Ansari, M.A., Joshi, S. & Raghuvanshi, R. (2018). Understanding farmers perceptions about climate change: a study in a North Indian State. Advances in Agriculture and Environmental Science,1(2), 85-89. http://doi.org/10.30881/aaeoa.0001
Asfaw, A., Bantider, A., Simane, B., Hassen, A., 2021. Smallholder farmers’ livelihood vulnerability to climate change-induced hazards: agroecology-based comparative analysis in Northcentral Ethiopia (Woleka Sub-basin). Heliyon 7 (4), e06761.
Araro, K., Legesse, S.A., Meshesha, D.T., 2019. Climate change and variability impacts on rural livelihoods and adaptation strategies in southern Ethiopia. Earth Sys. Environ.1–12.
Asrat, p. & Simane, B. 2018a. Farmers’ perception of climate change and adaptation strategies in the Dabus watershed, North-West Ethiopia Ecological processes, 7.
Befikadu E. Belay S.Victor O. and Ermias T. (2019). Climate variability and farmers’ perception in Southern Ethiopia. Hindawi Research Article, Volume 2019(Article ID 7341465). http://doi.org/10.1155/2019/7341465
Barrucand, M. G., Vieira, C. G., Canziani, P. O., Barrucand, M. G., Vieira, C. G., & Canziani, P. O. (2016). Climate change and its impacts: perception and adaptation in rural areas of Manizales , Colombia, 5529(May), 1–12. http://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2016.1167661
Belay,A.,Recha,J.W.,Woldeamanuel,T.,&Morton,J.F.(2017).Smallholderfarmers’adaptationtoclimatechangeanddeterminantsoftheiradaptationdecisionsintheCentralRiftValleyofEthiopia.AgricultureandFoodSecurity,6(1),1-13. http://doi.org/10.1186/s40066-017-0100-1
Chichongue O. J, Karuku G. N., Mwala A. K., Onyango C. M. and Magalhaes A. M., 2015. Farmers’ risk perceptions and adaptation to climate change in Lichinga and Sussundenga, Mozambique. African Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol. 10(17).
Chemeda B.A. Feyera S., and Emiru B. (2023) Determinants of perception of climate change and adaptation strategies of coffee-based agroforestry farmers in western Ethiopia. Emerald Open Research journal. https://doi.org/10.35241/emeraldopenres.14904.1
CSA (2018). Agricultural Sample Survey. Report on Area and Production of Major Crops, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
CSA. (2021). Agricultural Sample Survey. Area and Production of Major Crops, Addis Ababa Ethiopia.
Debela, N., Mohammed, C., Bridle, K., Corkrey, R., & Mcneil, D. (2015). Perception of climate change and its impact by smallholders in pastoral / agropastoral systems of. SpringerPlus, 4(236), 1–12 http://doi.org/10.1186/s40064-015-1012-9
Degife, A. W., Zabel, F., & Mauser, W. (2021). Climate change impacts on potential maize yields in Gambella Region, Ethiopia. Regional Environmental Change, 21(2) https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021- 01773-3.
Diao, Xinshen; Thurlow, James; Ellis, Mia and Pauw, Karl. 2023. Ethiopia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation. Agrifood System Diagnostics Country Series 4. https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136808
Duan, P., Chen, S., Zhang, H., Zhang, F., 2021. Grain for Green Project in farmers’ minds: perceptions, aspirations and behaviours in eco-fragile region, Xinjiang, China. Int. J.Climate Change Strat. Manag 13 (2), 191–207.
Eriksen S, Schipper ELF, Scoville-Simonds M, et al.: Adaptation interventions and their effect on vulnerability in developing countries: Help, hindrance or irrelevance? World Development. 2021; 141: 105383.
Gujarati, D. (2004). Basic Econometrics (3rd ed). New York: McGraw-Hill, 2004. New York. http://doi.org/10.1126/science.1186874
Haftu K. Jema H. and Abbadi G. (2017). Determinants of smallholder farmers’ adaptation strategies against climate change stresses in Raya Azebo District, Northern Ethiopia: Multivariate analysis. Paper submitted to 16th International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Hundera, H., Mpandeli, S., Bantider, A., 2019. Smallholder farmers’ awareness and perceptions of climate change in Adama district, central rift valley of Ethiopia. Weather Clim. Extrem. 26, 100230.
IFPRI (International Food Policy Research Institute). 2023, Ethiopia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation. Washington, DC. https://www.ifpri.org/pubilcation/etiopias-agrifood
IPCC: Summary for policymakers. In: Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J.,Mach, K.J., Mastrandrea, M.D., Bilir, T.E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K.L., Estrada, Y.O., Genova, R.C., Girma, B., Kissel, E.S., Levy, A.N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea,P.R., White, L.L. 2014.
Kabir, M. I., Rahman, M. B., Smith, W., Lusha, M. A. F., Azim, S., & Milton, A. H. (2016). Knowledge and perception about climate change and human health: findings from a baseline survey among vulnerable communities in Bangladesh. BMC Public Health, 16(1), 266. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-2930-3
Kalele DN, Ogara WO, Oludhe C, et al.: Climate change impacts and relevance of smallholder farmers’ response in arid and semi-arid lands in Kenya. SciAfr. Elsevier B.V., 2021; 12: e00814.
Ketema, A. M., & Negeso, K. D. (2020). Effect of climate change on agricultural output in Ethiopia. Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan Dan Pembangunan Daerah, 8 (3), 195–208. https://doi.org/10.22437/ppd.v8i3. 9076
Krejcie, R.V. and D.W. Morgan, 1970. Determing sample size for research activities. Educational and Psychological Measurement 30: 607-610.
Matewos T: Climate change-induced impacts on smallholder farmers in selected districts of Sidama, Southern Ethiopia. Climate. 2019; 7(5): 70.
Mekonnen A, Tessema A, Ganewo Z, et al.: Climate change impacts on household food security and adaptation strategies in southern Ethiopia. Food and Energy Security. 2021; 10(1): e266.
Obayelu, O. A., Adepoju, O. A., & Idowu, T. (2014). Factors influencing farmers’ choices of adaptation to climate change in Ekiti State, Nigeria. Journal of Agriculture and Environment for International Development, 108(1), 3–16. http://doi.org/10.12895/jaeid.2014.140
Pedersen, J.S.T., Santos, F.D., van Vuuren, D., Gupta, J., Coelho, R.E., Aparício, B.A., Swart, R., 2021. An assessment of the performance of scenarios against historical global emissions for IPCC reports. Global Environ. Change 66, 102199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102199
Seid S., Jema H. and Degye G. (2016). Climate change adaptation strategies of smallholder farmers: the case of Assosa district, Western Ethiopia. Journal of Environment and Earth Science, 6(7).
Seyoum Y.H. (2015). Perceptions, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia: the case of smallholder farmers in Sidama. PhD Thesis Submitted to University of East London.S. Li, S. You, Z. Song, L. Zhang, and Y. Liu, “Impacts of climate and environmental change on bean cultivation in China,” Atmosphere, vol. 12, p. 1591, 2021 http://doi.org/10.3390/atmos/12121591
Solomon, R., Simane, B., & Zaitchik, B. F. (2021). The impact of climate change on agriculture production in ethiopia : Application of a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. American Journal of Climate Change, 10(1), 32–50. https://doi.org/10. 4236/ajcc.2021.101003
Tessema,Y.A., Aweke, C.S., & Endris, G. S. (2013).Understanding the process of adaptation to climate change by small-holder farmers: the case of east Hararghe Zone, Ethiopia. AgricEco., 1(1), 1-13. http://doi.org/10.1186/2193-7532-1-13
USAID: USAID (United States Agency for International Development).Agriculture and Food Security. 2021.
Weldlul A. (2016). Analysis of Smallholder Farmers’ Perceptions of Climate Change and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change: The Case of Western Amhara Region, Ethiopia. Dissertation submitted to University of South Africa.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Journal of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources
Wallaga University,
All rights reserved.
Accepted 2025-01-06
Published 2024-12-31